1-Day Workshop
Strategic Uncertainty in National Security
Tuesday, 26 June 2018
Samuel Neaman Institute, Technion
Six 30-minute lectures will be presented by Israeli and international scholars, each lecture followed by 30 minutes of open discussion.
The lectures will focus on diverse approaches to managing deep uncertainty in strategic affairs for national security. The workshop will be held in English and will include about 20 lecturers and discussants, possibly with additional observers. Participants include both active IDF officers, former officers, and other civilians.
The lectures and discussions will focus on a wide range of theses and approaches to understanding and managing deep uncertainty in strategic affairs. We will address the following issues concerning strategic uncertainty:
- nature and history of strategic uncertainty,
- geo-political context for military affairs,
- assessment and implications for defense planning,
- nature of current threats and their uncertainties,
- doctrinal and methodological responses to strategic uncertainty,
- relation between tactical and strategic uncertainty,
- intelligence analysis and strategic uncertainty,
- institutional dimensions,
and more...
Program:
9:30–09:45 Opening welcome
First session Chair: Yakov Ben-Haim
09:45–10:15
Douglas Macgregor: ISR and the Condition of Persistent Uncertainty
10:15–10:45
Open discussion
10:45–11:15
Doron Avital: Logic in Action
11:15–11:45
Open discussion
11:45–12:45 Lunch
Second session Chair: Chuck Freilich
12:45–13:15
Milo Jones: Strategic Uncertainty, Digital Technology and Formal Cause
13:15–13:45
Open discussion
13:45–14:15
Meir Finkel: Conservatism, Innovation and Adaptation in force design
14:15–14:45
Open discussion
14:45–15:15 - Coffee break
Third session Chair: Eitan Shamir
15:15–15:45
Rob Johnson: Decision-making in ‘An Age of Uncertainty’: A Critical Analysis of
the British Approach to Full-Spectrum Challenges
15:45–16:15
Open discussion
16:15–16:45
Yakov Ben-Haim: What Strategic Planners Need to Know in the Age of Uncertainty
16:45–17:15 Concluding discussion
For more information:
Contact: yakov@technion.ac.il
