The objectives of the research are to review the best practices for the deployment of electric vehicle (EV) charging infrastructure, specify optimal models for the Israeli case, and provide actionable guidelines for implementation. The focus of the research is public charging infrastructure for passenger electric vehicles and Light Commercial Vehicles (LCV), which represents the vast majority of the national vehicles fleet. It consists of three distinct parts, each based on different methodologies – international best practices review, stakeholders feedback and analysis and forecast for EVs and charging in Israel.
The provided prediction model shows the following:
- Israeli EV uptake is predicted to reach a sales market share of 2% to 4% (3% avg.) in 2020, 6.5% to 26% (16% avg.) in 2025 and 17% to 84% (51% avg.) by 2030.
- By 2020 the number of EVs in Israel is expected to be about 9,000 to 29,000, accounting for 0.3% to 0.9% of the total fleet that year (avg. of 19,000 and 0.6%, respectively); by 2025 the number of EVs in Israel is expected to reach 87,000 to 288,000, accounting for 2.3% to 7.7% of the total vehicle fleet that year (avg. of 188,000 and 5.0%, respectively).
- Tens of thousands of public charging stations are needed within less than a decade. By 2020 there are 15,145 private chargers and 1,309 public chargers (or 2,618 public charging points) are needed; by 2025 there are 149,184 private chargers and 12,891 public chargers (or 25,782 public charging points) needed. Municipalities can expect demand for hundreds up to thousands of public charging stations within less than a decade, with Tel Aviv, Haifa, Jerusalem and Rishon LeZion in demand for over 100 public chargers by 2020.
The predicted demand for fast chargers is for 20 to 65 (42 avg.) fast chargers required by 2020, and 152 to 502 (327 avg.) fast chargers required by 2025.
